What To Bet On

• What To Bet On Today

In most cases, beginning predictors and betting players try to find matches where one of the teams has an advantage. About 90% of attention is directed precisely to the favorites, which is not surprising. Few who are more experienced are already looking for an edge on the side of outsiders. At the same time, the lion’s share of players who load on favorites do not achieve positive results in bets, but only merge. This is due to weak analytics or its complete absence, as well as serious underestimation of the odds by favorites for various reasons.

You can add values other than those that are pre-defined in the bet slip. To do this, place the cursor in the Bet Amount (€) field. On Sunday January 17-th as part of the 19th round of the English Premier League, Sheffield United will host Tottenham. We have prepared a prediction for this meeting. On SOSBettingTips.com, find advice, many tips and tricks to win your online bets and our selection of the best sports betting sites.

As a result, such a “underweight” and margin not only eat up profit over a distance, but also lead many to a deep minus. Alternative approaches, in the form of bets on real or hidden favorites, as well as on outsiders, we analyzed in other publications. Here it was the turn to consider the third basic concept, namely, matches between equal teams and betting options on them.

The problem is that you often have to bet on many horses until one wins to find a profitable throwing bet. What to beware of arbitrage betting? The bookmaker may cancel a bet if the odds were mistakes: incorrectly marked any of the outcomes (for example, AH1.

When can rivals be considered equal?

So what do we mean by a football match between equal teams? This means that the player estimates the chances of opponents equal or very close. We are talking about the main outcomes, the chances of victory for each of the parties. The key word here is «player bets.» It is our subjective assessment, and not the opinion of the crowd or the bookmaker, expressed in odds.

We remind you that despite the claims that the odds in the BS reflect the real probability of the outcome, this is not always the case. Distortions can be both small and very significant. They can be caused either by the error of the bookmaker in assessing the probability, or by deliberate manipulation on their part, or by “loading” when the players massively carry money for one outcome and ignore the second. The player’s task at betting is to formulate their opinion. Give your assessment of the probabilities of the victories of the parties and translate them into odds. Comparing these indicators with the shop, it is already possible to draw conclusions.

Imagine that our quotes coincided with the bookmakers. For example, it could be such a layout on » Home — X — Away «:

• 61 — 3.48 — 2.6;
• 23 — 3.70 — 3.02;
• 19 — 3.38 — 3.36;
• 05 — 3.46 — 3.66.

The first option, where there is absolute equality, is most likely about a game on a neutral field, or guests have a slight advantage, which leveled the factor of the home stadium.

The second and third examples are typical equal matches, where a slight advantage for the first teams is caused only by the game with their fans.

The latter option is closer to where the relative favorite is in the person of the first team. However, this borderline case can be regarded as a meeting regarding equal teams.

We can conditionally decide that if on Home and Away the odds are always higher than two, then the chances are close to equal.

This all applies to the case when our assessment converges with the bookmaker. There may be options. That is, we evaluate the odds close, and the shop puts the odds as if there was a favorite. For example, our estimate is “2.19 — 3.38 — 3.36” and the shop gives “1.78 — 3.94 — 4.30”. We must trust our forecast. Either continue to bet on neutral outcomes, as in an equal game, or catch the advantage on the shoulder, which is overpriced by the bookmaker. It could be X2, a double-chance outcome that spans an undervalued team and a draw at the same time.

If we evaluate the match absolutely equal: “2.61 — 3.48 — 2.61”, and the shop puts: “2.05 — 3.46 — 3.66”, this is also a significant gap. But both options fall into the above range and can be regarded as equal. It is better to focus on neutral outcomes and not give much weight to the difference in scores. It’s dangerous to catch an advantage here.

Let’s move on to consider specific types of bets.

Draw

The first thing that comes to mind when we consider a potentially equal match is to bet on a draw. This is a difficult market. It’s not enough just to reveal equal games and to bet on everyone in a row. So nothing good in distance can be achieved, even despite the high odds, from three or more. Firstly, a qualitative assessment of the main line is required, and not “forecasting” by the bookmaker’s odds, which affects a lot of people. Secondly, it is important to develop a set of parameters, especially with regard to the ratio of motivations, in order to identify precisely draw fights with sufficient frequency.

High odds from 2.80 to 3.50, allows you to play on a variety of financial strategies. We recommend using independent (they are even). These are “flat”, “percentage of the bank”, “fixed profit” and the like. Of course, they play in small shares of the bank, within 1-3%. Using these financial algorithms, a player can profit from high traffic, relative to the average odds, without looking at the seriality of the results. For example, only 32% passability, with average odds of 3.40. They bet on 2%. Out of 50 bets per round, this will be 16 pluses.

16 * 3.40 * 2% = 108.8%

ROI of 8% per bank turnover is very good. If you keep this level of patency, then you can already make a profit.

On the other hand, many players, due to high odds, start playing on various Martingale options, raising bets on series of losses. This is a bad idea, especially for beginners. It is precisely such shaky outcomes as draws that can line up in a long negative sequence, which high odds will not save the bank. So first you need to fill your hand with a flat, and then climb into all the grave.

Draw in one of the halves

More light compared to a draw in a match is the type of a tie bet in one of the halves. To win under this condition, you need an equal score in either the first or second half. Yes, the odds are lower than for the whole match, but there are more chances. Especially often the first half of such “close” meetings ends in a draw. But it is better to play it safe and take any of the halves.

Double chance

A draw, as a separate outcome, is very dangerous. So many players practice insurance in equal matches, taking a double chance, a victory for one of the parties, plus a draw. This is usually appropriate in situations with skew, when the bookmaker nevertheless gives some advantage to one of the parties, and the player does not agree. For example, in the situation: “2.05 — 3.46 — 3.66”, it’s quite reasonable to take X2 to the second team for 1.78 if you do not share the opinion that the first team has equal chances to win.

Bets of this kind, with odds from 1.60 to 1.85, are a completely adequate choice for single bets and uniform strategies. With indicators from 1.75, you can already catch up, starting with a small percentage, for example, 0.2-0.5% of the bank.

Handicap (+1.5)

Developing the direction of the previous type of bets, you can go for an even more radical insurance. Namely, to take on the shoulder of the team undervalued by the bookmaker a positive handicap, for example, (+1.5). The odds will be 1.20-1.30, but this is a good basis for assembling accumulators and ladders.

Moreover, a high-quality selection of events will allow you to go up to 10-15 steps in a row. This will allow you to build solid final odds as a result of multiplying the indicators of the included elements. Equal teams really destroy the opponent very rarely. If the victory of one of the parties happens, then the minimum. So having a hand in choosing the right pairs, you can make a profit using this technique.

One-team win or draw

If you follow this path of reasoning, then another type of bet pops up immediately: a team victory in one ball or a draw. This is the same option as a double chance, only victory is limited by the minimum difference in the score. So the odds will be higher. It’s better to take this in situations where there is a slight advantage; the favorite is drawn, with odds on their victory of the order of 2.00-2.20.

And most importantly, the player agrees with the quotes of the shop. Then it’s better to take the considered option of betting on a conditional favorite, usually these are the home team.

Since this market includes several conditions, it can be regarded as very risky. So it’s preferable to use independent bets, and not use Martingale.

Total under

An equal match very often involves a very tough and sticky fight. Since the level of rivals is close, they do not want to concede. If both teams tend to defend better than to attack, this leads to fights with low performance. Having correctly predicted such a scenario, it is best for a bettor to abstract from the main outcome and bet on Total Under.

An additional important factor here will be the assessment of past personal meetings of these rivals. If clubs have not undergone a radical restructuring in recent years, a change in the philosophy of the game, then the history of “little faces” will provide useful information. Viscous “grassroots” matches will confirm the version that we should expect a fight now.

If somewhere in the past there was a big score, “the total was broken”, then we need to consider that match in more detail. Perhaps there was another motivation, maybe the end of the season, or some serious losses took place in the defensive order. So do not look indiscriminately, superficially. It is always better to get to the bottom of the matter, spend an extra 10 minutes, than lose a bet by oversight.

What exactly to bet on, there may be options. If the bookmaker gives close quotes for Total Over and Total Under (2.5), then they take Total Under (2.5), or even Total Under (2). The odds are 1.70-2.30. You can play evenly, and Martingale options. Of course, the success of the enterprise, as always, depends on the correct selection of specific matches. But in general, the idea of ​​betting on the “bottom” in equal games between teams sharpened on defense is one of the best.

Total over

The opposite situation is possible, when both opponents do not shine with defense, and the attack they have on the contrary is in better condition. Also, as above, when assessing the mood of the teams towards each other, the history of personal meetings will help. If the “top” scores prevail there, then this is good, you can consider Total Over in the upcoming fight.

Typically, for the condition Total Over (2.5), bookmakers give at least 1.50, so that you can play with single bets. The main thing, as always, is that the assessment of the shop is objective and coincides with yours. If you bet for Total Over 1.80, and the bookmaker draws 1.65, then you do not need to bet. You should look for another match, where your score coincides, or the shop odds are even too high.

Alternatively, consider Total Over (3). The odds will turn out higher, and with exactly three goals you will get a return. But behind the bar of 3 goals it’s dangerous to get out. Only in especially scored leagues, and even that is better in live.

Individual Total Over 0.5 or 1

Since equal matches seem to hint that it is worth ignoring bets on the main outcomes, you can do so. For example, focus on goals. And not some large common totals, but individual and as much as possible reinsured. When considering a specific game we ask ourselves questions: will this team score, what are the chances? If the chances are great, and the odds for this event are adequate, or even slightly overestimated, then why not play.

Mini-accumulators for 2-3 events are usually collected from ITO (0.5) or ITO (1) to get playable odds for a deuce. This is a normal practice when we reduce the risks of losing in a single match, choosing the most confident outcome, and increase them at the total bet, by combining events from several matches into an accumulator. So you can find a balance and reduce the final risk.

Both teams to score — yes

Another bet option that is requested in games between potentially equal rivals is “both teams to score — yes.” Of course, this solution works in the same matches where we considered Total Over. If the game is equal, but a game without missed goals is not expected, betting on an exchange of goals is one of the most understandable and sound decisions. Often teams quickly score one at a time, and then, as cut off. This is due to the fact that both teams showed agility attacks, making each other more afraid of the rear. So “BS” is more often played in equal games than Total Over (2.5). Well, the odds for this are usually lower. As always, you need an individual approach to each match.

Both teams to score and Total Over

Since we have already mentioned bet options on Total Over and “both teams to score”, it is logical to combine them in games where we are waiting for a lot of goals. Of course, it’s better not to bet the entire amount allocated for the match on this more risky outcome, but to split the funds and part to play at higher odds, due to the imposition of these conditions is a perfectly sound idea. For example, we bet 75% of the amount on “both teams to score — yes”, and 25% on “BTTS + Total Over (2.5)”. There are many football leagues where such outcomes take place very often: championships of the Scandinavian countries, Australia, USA, minor leagues of many European championships. In TOP championships, this option is also possible to use, but pointwise.

Both teams to score plus a draw

More risky outcomes in equal matches include “productive draw”. That is, bets are suitable for calling bets: 1:1, 2:2, 3:3 and so on. Large odds are certainly attractive, but it is difficult to predict. If we consider such an outcome, then only by 10-15 percent of the amount allocated for the match, if the rest played just for a draw, or for «both teams to score — yes.»

Draw plus Total Under

A roughly similar picture is with another risky condition, combining a tie score and Total Under. This is a development assumption that the game will be viscous and with low performance. That is, we expect 0:0 or 1:1. If you already decided to bet on “X”, and the teams do not shine with efficiency in order to play at least 2:2, then this is quite a reasonable way to increase the odds by a draw. For example, instead of 3.40 there will be about 4.00.

Accurate score

Well, to top off the picture, we mention pro bets on the exact score. If we already set higher on two exact score at the same time (0:0 and 1:1), then what prevents us from betting on one or both at once, part-time. Nothing interferes. In the second case, we get the same thing as a draw with Total Under. Yes, the outcomes are risky, one goal is not right, and everything was gone. But if a player is capable to give out the necessary for a plus passability level at medium distances, then why not.

Conclusions

Matches with equal or close quotes for the victories of the parties are not as scary as it seems to inexperienced beginners in betting. As you can see, they can be played, the variety of outcomes is impressive. A fair share of the considered bet options have even logic and adequacy, and are not only based on fortune telling.

Overview

Ultimate Roulette Bet Calculator is a Freeware software in the category Games & Entertainment developed by Hass Al.

The latest version of Ultimate Roulette Bet Calculator is currently unknown. It was initially added to our database on 04/12/2008.

Ultimate Roulette Bet Calculator runs on the following operating systems: Windows.

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What To Bet On Today

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