10 Cent Superfecta Strategy
Superfecta betting is one of the most popularsystems among horse handicappers. For the newbies, it offers the ability to tryout betting with minimal risk. For the experienced, it allows for high payoutswith low costs. In the 2005 Kentucky Derby, a superfecta payout was $864,253,one of the highest ever. This case was rare, but is an excellent example of howa relatively cheap horse bet can pay off huge! It is not unusual to see horsebettors win hundreds of dollars for a relatively small investment (just a fewdollars). You simply need to know-how.
Instilled Regard was actually the longest price on the board in a race fwith 12 longshots of 20-1 or higher, with 10 of those horses at 37-1 or higher. Superfecta strategy Because handicapping a race with 20 horses is so difficult, don't go blindly into assembling your ticket. Instead, consider a proven strategy. 10 Cent Superfecta System 10 Cent Superfecta Dime Superfecta Superfecta Book Superfecta Calculator. Category: Betting Systems Sub Cat.: Horse Racing. Click To See How It Works! or How To Get It! Underground Horse Player Finally Reveals The “Secret Horse Betting System That The Pro’s Don’t Want You To Know About.
You do not always need to be an experiencedexpert to win a superfecta bet. You need enough knowledge and The Wizardsselections to get a chance at making the illustrious winning on the 10-CentSuperfecta.
What Is a Superfecta System?
A Superfecta bet is a complicated horse racingwager where the bettor is required to pick not just the Win, Place and Showhorses, but also the fourth place position finisher. Picking the first fourhorses to finish a horse race, in exact order, is no easy task, no matter thesize of the field.
The Superfecta requires that the bettor pickout the first four places in a specific order. If their selected horses win inthat exact order – they get a huge payoff! If you bet on only one combination,your odds are relatively low. If you bet on a few variations, the odds areslightly better. This approach is precisely what expert handicappers starteddoing. They bet on several educated combinations, significantly increasingtheir chances of winning.
However, initially, betting on multiplecombinations is expensive. Then came the 10-Cent Superfecta.
The 10-Cent Superfecta
In 2004, at a dog track race in New Hampshire,the 10-cent Superfecta was introduced. This move was to attract more gamblers,increase the pool, and allow the bettors to cover a more significant number ofcombinations.
With the 10-Cent Superfecta, you can makeseveral combinations and use more than four horses for as little as a fewdollars.
To give you perspective, in a 14-horse race,there are almost 24,024 superfecta combinations possible. With a 10-Centdenomination, that is a $2,400 bet. Initially, the betting denomination wouldusually be at least a dollar, and in that case, this outlay would be at$24,000. Having a 10-Cent option brings down the betting amount significantly.No one includes all 14 horses, but even if you pick out a relatively highnumber of horses, say 10, your costs are still relatively lower. For example,your cost for all the possible combinations with ten horses would be just $504.AThe 10-Cent superfecta approach is a fraction of the cost compared to the $1 or higher denomination bets.
Sounds incredible, right? Well, it is, and itisn’t.
The Positives of the 10-Cent Superfecta Bets
With the 10-Cent incentive, there is a strongmotivation to include as many horses as possible, and rightly so – it is cheapto do so. However, playing with all the horses in the field would not be asmart approach. According to multiple studies, almost 50% of the combinationsare unplayed. So most bettors are just playing with the remaining 50% possiblecombinations. The 10-Cent bets allow you to play strategically with these 50%combinations.
For instance, when you want to buy aninsurance wager. Assume that you placed several expensive bets (Superfecta withdenominations higher than 10 cents), and those bets chose a few horses verycarefully. However, there are a couple more horses you want to bet on but arenot confident about this second set of selections. In such a case, placing 10cent bets to include those horses in your total mix is a good idea. A goodcombination of higher denomination bets and 10 cent bets can help you cover asmany horses as possible, and increase your chances of winning.
The 10-Cent Superfecta helps you takeadvantage of several other strategic moves, such as the previously mentionedinsurance wager.
The Negatives of the 10-Cent Superfecta Bets
The 10-Cent figure is quite tempting. As aresult, people use this as a crutch to make up for their bad bets to recoversome costs of their other poorly placed wagers. However, it is not the beststrategy, and we are about to tell you why.
Let’s say there is a 10-horse field. Thisscenario means the total possible combinations is 5040. If you are bettingmoney, people will do their homework and find out the likely winners andfavorites. This situation means only a select few horses have significant bets.If you look at the popular ratio, usually only 40-50% of the horses are bet.Assuming 50%, out of our 5040 possible combinations- only 2520 combinationswould be included in the betting slips. That means almost 2520 combinations areentirely left out.
Even out of these 2520 combinations, a selectfew combinations will form the majority. Meaning the top favorite horses willbe part of most of the combinations. Very few combinations will have thenon-favorite horses.
Now there are two scenarios:
Scenario1: The 2-3 favorite horses finish in the winningpositions, which means that the majority tickets win. Although you will win,the payouts will be low because you only get a share of the winning pool.
Scenario2: The top 2-3 horses do not make it to the winningpositions. In this scenario, the select few who did not go with the favoritehorses will get a massive payout.
It is important to note that there have beenmany cases where only 1 or 2 winning tickets have received the entiresuperfecta payouts.
As you can see, both scenarios are not simple.You might win in scenario 1, but the amount is not significant. If you widenyour bet and invest a lot, you could find yourself in scenario 2; however, theodds of that scenario are very low.
Hence, do not let the 10-Cent tempt you, andbe smart about using it only as a betting tool in your handicapping toolkit.
The above example also further explains twopoints:
- With the 10-Cent bets, you can at least win minimal amounts.
- Do not bet on the entire pool. If you want a wide pool, go for 50% of the combination, which is usually unlikely. You will not be able to recover even costs if you bet on all possible combinations.
Understanding How to Plan and Bet the 10-Cent Superfecta
Although the 10-Cent bet is super lucrative,you should be strategic about when to play for it and when to pass. In an idealworld, you should place a 10-Cent Superfecta bet when you are convinced thatthe crowd favorite will not win. Of course, that is not always easy to know,even for the most experienced handicappers.
That said, if you know the favorites are goingto win, you can act smart and place the bets on them in many different ways toincrease your chance of winning and also to increase your correct bets placed,and hence to increase your winning share. To better understand this, read on tofind out how you can do this.
In the following sub-section, we will touchupon the different betting options under the superfecta system. We will coverthe 10-Cent Superfecta, but for other denominations, you can modify the bettingamount. The underlying concept remains constant. We will assume horse # 4, 1,7, and 5 are our favorites for the race.
Straight Superfecta
As is the concept, you must choose four horsesyou think will Win, Place, and Show along with the fourth-place position.Picking the first four horses to finish a horse race, in exact order, is noeasy feat, no matter the size of the field.
So you betting slip will be – $0.10 for4-1-7-5
Box Superfecta
You still need to select the first four horsesin the correct order, but by boxing your selections, they can finish in anycombination. This bet also allows you to choose more than four runners, for anincreased cost, of course.
Simply put, you will not choose the order ofthe four horses, but choose the four horses you think will come in the firstfour positions. You will have 24 possible combinations in this case, and youwould have to pay for each one.
So you betting would slip will be $2.4 for 24combinations of horse number 4,1,7,5 for the Boxed 10-Cent Superfecta.
If you want to widen your selection pool, youalso have the choice to do so. You can pick out more horses and have that manymore combinations.
Five horses = 120 combinations = $12
Six horses = 360 combinations = $36
Seven horses = 840 combinations = 840
Five to six horses are ideal if you want to atleast recover your costs with a strong level of confidence.
Wheel Superfecta
This bet is a cheaper option than Box and yetallows you to have several combinations. As a result, it is the most favoredout of the three.
When you are confident about which horse willwin the first position, but not so confident about the other 3, you can choosethe wheel betting system.
Full Wheel
In this, say you are sure of #4 winning. For1, 5, 7, you are not as confident. So you bet for all combinations where #4 isranked 1st, and the other horses are ranked in each of the other positions.
This tactic increases your chance of receivinga payout if you are right about #4. You are insured for all other scenarios aslong as you are the #4 horse performs to expectations.
Part Wheel
You can include even more than three horsesfor the other three positions. This system is called the part wheel bettingsystem. The cost of this is lower than the box system. So even if you bet with6-7 horses, your costs are lower. For example:
Six horses – $6
Seven horses – $12
Eight horses – $21
and so on…
With this system, you can get strategic. Forinstance, if you think #4 and #7 have a sure chance of winning, then your partwheel combinations should cover these horses in the first two positions and theother in the remaining two. This further increases your chance of a largepayout.
Time to try your 10-Cent luck
To summarize, the 10-Cent Superfecta bet is super lucrative, if you get creative and play smart. Knowing when to play is as important as knowing how to play when it comes to Superfecta. Until you learn how to take a calculated swing at this, you can put in some money and keep experimenting. The stakes are relatively low, and modest payouts are quite in reach. Need to bet with confidence? Get The Wizards picks today and level up your handicapping game.
The Wizard’s Thoughts on the 10-Cent Superfecta
The Wizard’s cardinal rule playing the 10-Cent Superfecta is that no matter how many horses you include in the first-second-third spots, in the final spot (to finish 4th) you MUST use the ALL button. This means you MUST include every horse in the 4th spot because any horse can run 4th and what you are hoping for is for a long-shot to fill out the 10 Cent Superfecta.
The Wizard
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With a 20-horse field nearly every year, the Kentucky Derby consistently produces some of the biggest payouts of the racing calendar, and this year's running shapes up as no exception.
The sheer number of possible combinations in a 20-horse field ensure that the payoffs are big year after year.
The number of possible outcomes, combined with the difficulty in handicapping a wide-open Derby, set us up for some spectacular payouts this year. Consider the average and median returns in recent years:
The Kentucky Derby superfecta is the big prize
With several top contenders that could win this year, and as many as 14 strong targets to fill out the third-place spot, selecting the Top 4 finishers should prove elusive as ever. The reward? Massive payoffs.
In 10 of the past 14 years, the $2 superfecta has returned near the $40,000 mark or higher. The average superfecta payoff from 2005 to 2015 is $157,621, although boosted by the massive payoffs with Mine That Bird in 2009 and Giacomo in 2005. But even the $2 trifecta averages $16,207 over that time. And the median $2 trifecta payoff is $3,435 while the median $2 superfecta payoff is still a whopping $57,911.
2018 Superfecta results: Logical 1-2-3, huge payoff
The 2018 Kentucky Derby was the perfect example of how huge the superfecta can pay with a result that isn't all that crazy:
- (1st) Justify, the 2.90-1 favorite
- (2nd) Good Magic at 9.70-1
- (3rd) Audible at 7.00-1
- (4th) Instilled Regard at 85.10-1
Now, looking back a year later, Justify certainly seemed like a bigger favorite than 2.90-1, but that's what happens when you face 19 rivals in the Derby.
Good Magic and Audible were top contenders, but the next five were bunched on the tote board after Justify. My Boy Jack (6.70-1) was actually the second choice in the win betting, followed by Mendelssohn (6.80-1), Audible, Bolt d'Oro (8.90-1) and Good Magic, who was the sixth choice in the betting.
Considering additional contenders for the Trifecta, the next choices were Magnum Moon (13.70-1) and Vino Rosso (14.10-1).
But obviously, it was Instilled Regard in fourth who keyed the massive super payout. Instilled Regard was actually the longest price on the board in a race fwith 12 longshots of 20-1 or higher, with 10 of those horses at 37-1 or higher.
Superfecta strategy
Because handicapping a race with 20 horses is so difficult, don't go blindly into assembling your ticket. Instead, consider a proven strategy.
The Kentucky Derby Super Screener combines pace analysis and 20 other key criteria in determining superfecta tickets for the first Saturday in May each year.
Historical trends
• Notice the red and orange in the upper left. Following the results of the Kentucky Derby points qualifying system, pace or presser types have won the last five races.
• Of the 40 possible finish opportunities, closers/deep closers accounted for 25 of the slots, or 60%.
Historical trends
• Notice the red and orange in the upper left. Following the results of the Kentucky Derby points qualifying system, pace or presser types have won the last five races.
• Of the 40 possible finish opportunities, closers/deep closers accounted for 25 of the slots, or 60%.
• Third and fourth place accounted for the vast majority of closer finishes with nearly 70% of the 20 available slots taken up by them.• For the first time in many, many years, in 2015 the Derby trifecta was made up of no closers. • At least two closer/deep closers hit the superfecta in nine of the past 10 editions (90%) of the Kentucky Derby. Four of 10 races (40%) featured three or more closer types hitting the top four positions.• 30% of the second-place finishers were comprised of tiring pace/presser types.
• In 2016, Nyquist was the first pace type to win the Kentucky Derby in the past 14 years. Always Dreaming repeated this pattern in 2017, and Justify made it three in a row last year.
• The fourth-place slot yielded eight 20-1+ bombers in the past 15 years.
Speed is Improving
Highly regarded pace types have burned a lot of money over the history of the Kentucky Derby. Recent examples include Dortmund (4-1, third) in 2015 in addition to Verrazano (8-1, 14th) and Goldencents (7-1, 17th) in 2013. Bodemeister went off as the 4-1 favorite and looked much the winner in mid-stretch only to finish second in 2012. Lion Heart and Peace Rules were also highly regarded “wire” types that managed to hit the board but missed the win.
Complete flops of recent favored pace types include: Sidney's Candy (9-1, 17th, 2010), Brother Derek (7-1, fourth, 2006) and Bellamy Road (5-2, seventh, 2005). Prior to War Emblem’s wire to wire victory in 2002, the last horse to win the Kentucky Derby in that fashion was the filly Winning Colors in 1988.But the last five years, favored pace/presser types have captured the Derby five years in a row. Could this be a result of the track changing, or perhaps the different makeup of the field with the Kentucky Derby points system?
2019 pace projections
For the 2019 Kentucky Derby, the Super Screener has projected the pace (and will confirm that projection once the final field is locked in). With no pace horses this year, but as many as nine presser types, will the 2019 outcome look like last year’s, or will two or more of the many 20-1+ longshot closers manage to hit the board?
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